Britain faces a troubling economic crisis reminiscent of the 1970s, with Labour under fire for its handling of strikes and soaring debt.
London: Things are looking pretty grim in Britain right now. It feels like we’re back in the 1970s with a debt crisis, looming strikes, and a Labour Chancellor who’s really feeling the heat.
Rachel Reeves is under a lot of pressure to cancel her trip to China this weekend. Why? Because borrowing costs have shot up, even worse than during Liz Truss’s chaotic time in office.
People are saying Labour is dragging us back to the 70s with all these strikes and a struggling pound. It’s not a good look. The Chancellor’s recent budget, which raised national insurance, has been blamed for the market mess.
Now, if Reeves goes to China, she might end up being compared to Kwasi Kwarteng, who left the UK while the economy was falling apart back in 2022. Not exactly a flattering comparison!
There’s talk of strikes, just like the infamous winter of discontent in 1978 and 1979, with teachers threatening to walk out. Economists are even warning about a potential debt crisis that could force the government to seek help from the International Monetary Fund again.
Reeves has a tiny £9.9 billion buffer to stay within borrowing limits, but that’s quickly disappearing. This could mean more tax hikes or cuts to public spending, which isn’t great news for anyone.
On March 26, the Office for Budget Responsibility is set to give a brutal update on the economy, and it’s not expected to be pretty. The Treasury is trying to calm fears, saying there’s no need for an emergency intervention, but the pound has dropped to its lowest in 14 months.
Critics are having a field day, suggesting Reeves should be sacked over the fallout from her budget. Shadow Home Secretary Chris Philp even said she should stay in the UK to fix the mess she created.
Economists point out that the pound’s weakness is partly due to the dollar’s strength, but it’s also a sign that investors are pulling away from the UK. It’s a worrying trend.
Martin Weale, a former Bank of England rate-setter, noted that we haven’t seen such a bad combo of a falling pound and rising interest rates since 1976, which led to an IMF bailout. That’s a nightmare scenario for any Chancellor.
Interest rates on government bonds are climbing, which means families could face higher mortgage rates for a long time. This could really squeeze household budgets and slow down spending.
Adding to the chaos, the National Education Union is planning to hold a vote on industrial action over a proposed 2.8% pay rise. Meanwhile, a spokesperson for PM Sir Keir Starmer is urging the union to prioritize students’ needs.